Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.036067 0.038932 0.041938 0.045332 0.049061 0.053040 0.057615
2025-04-06 0.030850 0.034801 0.039171 0.044381 0.050448 0.057319 0.065729
2025-04-13 0.028104 0.032781 0.038168 0.044871 0.053041 0.062746 0.075251
2025-04-20 0.025828 0.030937 0.037015 0.044843 0.054751 0.067000 0.083482
2025-04-27 0.024309 0.029792 0.036498 0.045401 0.057051 0.071975 0.092868
2025-05-04 0.022716 0.028382 0.035482 0.045154 0.058180 0.075398 0.100361
2025-05-11 0.021396 0.027199 0.034628 0.044988 0.059313 0.078803 0.107997
2025-05-18 0.020211 0.026096 0.033775 0.044716 0.060214 0.081869 0.115312
2025-05-25 0.019228 0.025186 0.033102 0.044608 0.061282 0.085179 0.123182
2025-06-01 0.018160 0.024092 0.032099 0.043946 0.061469 0.087164 0.129137
2025-06-08 0.017133 0.022994 0.031019 0.043088 0.061277 0.088523 0.134155
2025-06-15 0.016335 0.022169 0.030272 0.042655 0.061666 0.090749 0.140695
2025-06-22 0.015593 0.021395 0.029565 0.042247 0.062080 0.093064 0.147631
2025-06-29 0.014780 0.020480 0.028605 0.041399 0.061740 0.094137 0.152526
2025-07-06 0.014393 0.020164 0.028507 0.041855 0.063483 0.098695 0.163876
2025-07-13 0.013907 0.019676 0.028122 0.041831 0.064432 0.101973 0.173206
2025-07-20 0.013592 0.019428 0.028082 0.042345 0.066284 0.106902 0.186017
2025-07-27 0.013116 0.018912 0.027604 0.042117 0.066862 0.109631 0.194886
2025-08-03 0.012688 0.018452 0.027189 0.041965 0.067548 0.112582 0.204439
2025-08-10 0.012265 0.017980 0.026733 0.041714 0.068038 0.115194 0.213541
2025-08-17 0.011901 0.017585 0.026380 0.041616 0.068781 0.118312 0.223960
2025-08-24 0.011448 0.017032 0.025748 0.041006 0.068562 0.119587 0.230604
2025-08-31 0.010982 0.016442 0.025032 0.040216 0.067962 0.120080 0.235591